FY’13 to be turnaround year for economy, says Pranab

Dismissing concerns that India’s growth rate may drop below 6.5 percent, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee today said 2012-13 would be the turnaround year for the economy.

Addressing a conference of top officials of the Income Tax Department, he said steps are being taken to put India back on path of high economic growth.

“We are taking all necessary steps to ensure that we come back to the path of the targeted GDP growth. Of course it will take some time…but from this year we expect to make a turnaround,” Mukherjee said.

In the Budget 2012-13, the government had pegged 2012-13 GDP growth at 7.6 percent (plus, minus 0.25 percent).

Following a “disappointing” economic growth of nine-year low of 6.5 percent in 2011-12, there have been concerns that India’s expansion rate this fiscal may slip further.

Mukherjee said that after the 2008 economic crisis, the GDP growth slipped to 6.7 percent in 2008-09, but bounced back to 8.4 percent in the following two financial years.

Highlighting the positives in the economy, Mukherjee said interest rate cycle has been reversed and there is growth in mining sector, turnaround in investment growth rate and there are predictions of normal monsoon, besides decline in crude oil prices.

“All these factors should help in recovery of domestic growth momentum,” he added.

On direct tax collection target of Rs 5.70 lakh crore for the current fiscal, he said it was achievable.

“I do feel this target is moderate and can be achieved,” he said while asking the tax officials to work “relentlessly” to improve tax collection.

In 2011-12, the direct collection at Rs4.95 lakh crore was marginally down from the revised target of Rs5.05 lakh crore.

Mukherjee said that while renewed growth momentum will help improve direct collection, there are several challenges before the I-T Department.

He expressed concern over decline in tax-GDP ratio and asked the officials to reverse the trend. The tax-GDP ratio has dropped to 10.5 percent in 2011-12, from 12 percent in 2007-08.

Mukherjee said the Direct Tax Code (DTC) Bill will be introduced in Parliament in the forthcoming Monsoon Session and would be affected from next fiscal.

“I am hoping that DTC will be effective from 1 April, 2013,” he said, adding that the time has come for the I-T Department to prepare itself for the transition from the Income Tax Act, 1961 to the new direct tax regime.

The Finance Minister further said the department has been striving to check the menace of black money and tax evasion, which eat into the vitals of the economy and pose threats to national security through linkages to money-laundering and terrorism.

He said the government has commissioned a study on unaccounted income and wealth and it is likely to be completed in September.

Also, a report of a committee on strengthening of existing laws relating to black money is being examined by the government.

“I hope that these two studies will help in identifying the gaps in present legislative and administrative framework and shall help us in checking the menace of black money through an effective policy response,” Mukherjee added.

He also said introduction on the Benami Transactions (Prohibition) Act, 2011, currently being scrutinised by a Parliamentary Standing Committee, will further help in “our resolve to reduce the menace of black money”.

(curtsey : first post)

Rupesh Yatesh Dalal
Head Research Department

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