Industrial growth likely to decelerate sharply in 2013

Industrial growth is expected to decelerate sharply in the first quarter of the current fiscal on the back of the country’s GDP registering a nine-year low growth of 5.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2011-12, a
CII-ASCON Survey has said.

“The issues constraining production growth were low investment rate due to high interest rates, depreciating rupee and high inflation affecting cost and demand,” it said.

Besides, the survey said that deteriorating global economic scenario has affected export markets and lack of availability of credit to industry are other factors hurting the growth.

Industrial production fell 3.5 percent in March, for the first time in five months.

CII said the survey covered 114 sectors comprising more than 35,000 companies. The sectors with high growth (10-20 per cent) is estimated to have decreased to 24.5 percent in the first three months of 2012-13 from 31.8 percent in the same period last year, it said.

The sectors such as cement and fertilisers showing low growth (0-10 percent) are estimated to have moved up to 52.6 percent in April-June 2012 compared to 42.2 percent in the same period last year, the survey stated.

Those showing 10-20 percent growth fall in the high category and 0-10 percent in the low group.

In order to spur investments and boost growth, industry chamber CII asked the government to step up measures to put the economy back on the growth trajectory.

“The situation calls for concerted efforts from the government and RBI to ensure that there is a cohesive economic recovery plan,” CII Chandrajit Banerjee Director General said.

Hit hard by global woes and domestic problems, India’s economic growth rate slowed to a nine-year low, both in the March quarter at 5.3 percent as well as in 2011-12 at 6.5 percent.

(curtsey : first post)

Rupesh Yatesh Dalal
Head Research Department


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