Free Intraday Stock Tips 2-1-09

January 1, 2009

MARKETCALLS – Intrday Stock Tips

Buy BANKINDIA above 297 SL 290 Target 301-305-310
Buy ONGC above 684 SL 671Target 698-704
Buy TATAPOWER above 793 SL 772 Target 811-825
Sell BATA below 105 SL 109 Target 103-101-98
Sell DIVIS LAB below 1328 SL 1350 Target 1313-1307

Always remember, put SL in your every trade.
Strictly follow Above and Below price, then follow strictly SL

Rupesh Yatesh Dalal
MARKETCALLS


Free Intraday Stock Tips 2-1-09

January 1, 2009

MARKETCALLS – Intrday Stock Tips

Buy BANKINDIA above 297 SL 290 Target 301-305-310
Buy ONGC above 684 SL 671 Target 678-704
Buy TATAPOWER above 793 SL 772 Target 811-825
Sell BATA below 105 SL 109 Target 103-101-98
Sell DIVIS LAB below 1328 SL 1350 Target 1313-1307

Always remember, put SL in your every trade.
Strictly follow Above and Below price, then follow strictly SL

Rupesh Yatesh Dalal
MARKETCALLS


Free Nifty Future Tips 2-1-09

January 1, 2009

NIFTY FUTURE

ABOVE 3049 TARGET 3084-3099-3120
BELOW 3022 TARGET 3003-2970-2934

-Always Remember, put SL in your every trade.

Rupesh Yatesh Dalal
MARKETCALLS


RBI & DOLLAR RELATION

January 1, 2009

The Reserve Bank of India sold $20.6 billion in October, according to the figures published in the December bulletin of the bank.

It was during October that the local currency faced severe pressure. The currency declined from about 47 to the dollar at the beginning of the month to a little over 50 at the end of October. The decline in forex reserves during that period had prompted speculation that the RBI was ‘intervening’ massively to prop up the local currency.

The super spike in oil prices on the one hand and flight of capital on the other have been the two factors that saw the RBI furiously sell off dollars to prop up the rupee, according to Dr D.K. Joshi, Director and Principal Economist at rating agency Crisil.The RBI has so far in this fiscal sold close to $34 billion while purchasing $5.68 billion. The net sale of $28.3 billion would mean that an equivalent amount of Rs 1,20,000 crore has been removed from the banking system – causing some liquidity crunch before the announcement of recent liquidity infusing measures.

Why RBI buys

The RBI buys dollars in the market when there is a heavy inflow of dollars – as was the case in the last few years. This is done to prevent the rupee from appreciating beyond the level that the RBI is comfortable with. A considerable part of the liquidity enjoyed by commercial banks during the past few years owed its origins to the dollar inflows that were sucked out by the RBI.

By placing rupees in their hands and once again ‘sterilising’ it by selling government paper to banks, the RBI was hoping to keep inflation under control.

During 2006-07 the RBI did not sell any dollars in the market. In 2007-08 also the RBI remained a purchaser of dollars – except in March, when it sold about $1.4 billion. During these two years alone, the RBI had purchased about $100 billion – which got added to the country’s forex reserves.The RBI was also very active in the forward market for dollar purchase from October 2007 when the inflows were high. Its outstanding net purchase of dollars in the forward market was at a high of $17 billion in April 2008 after which it has gradually reduced the net position to a mere $90 million in October 2008.

Since June this year, the RBI has had to intervene actively and sell more dollars than what it purchased during each month. There was a brief reprieve in August but things have taken a turn for the worse after that.


Volatility to continue

According to Dr Joshi, the nascent, if hesitant, uptrend in rupee in recent times should relieve the pressure on the Reserve Bank to continue to aggressively engage the market.

The drop in oil prices has come in as a major stress-buster, but Dr Joshi was apprehensive that the exchange rate scenario would continue to be volatile with each passing day bringing out varyingly depressive forecasts on global finances.

But he struck an optimistic note with a hunch that capital flows should begin to trickle in sooner than later. And that next year would not require the RBI to be as active in the market as it has been throughout year 2008. (Source : EMAIL)

Rupesh Yatesh Dalal
MARKETCALLS